More Campaign 2008 Analysis

Posted by Hugh Hewitt
November 12, 2008

“WLS Shipwrecked” writes:

John McCain got 5 million fewer votes than Pres. Bush in 2004. Obama got approx. the same number of votes as Pres. Bush in 2004. Obama got about 3 million more votes than Kerry did in 2004.

What part of these margins came from 1) increased turnout among African-Americans that was certain to happen with the first African-American candidate for a major party ever, and 2) McCain doing worse among Hispanics than Pres. Bush did in 2004?

Taking those two facts into consideration, as well as the fact of McCain’s general lack of substantive appeal to true conservatives, and the numerical outcome of the election shouldn’t be much of a surprise...

...As under -30 voters become over-30 voters they make more money, take on family obligations and mortgages, and begin to realize just how pernicious the high tax rates favored by the Dems are on their ability to support themselves and their family. The reality of wealth transfer between classes and between generations comes better into focus as one seeks to acquire greater wealth.

Those voters will gravitate to the GOP party once it regains its fiscal sanity. That’s the path to victory. the rest